Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.048903 0.057004 0.065902 0.076382 0.088369 0.101634 0.117405
2025-05-18 0.035691 0.046010 0.058394 0.074281 0.094041 0.117728 0.148182
2025-05-25 0.027192 0.038331 0.052783 0.072748 0.099428 0.133640 0.180585
2025-06-01 0.021923 0.033466 0.049511 0.073159 0.106774 0.152428 0.218608
2025-06-08 0.017446 0.028675 0.045306 0.071305 0.110379 0.166234 0.251223
2025-06-15 0.015367 0.026946 0.045070 0.074878 0.121853 0.191971 0.303090
2025-06-22 0.012982 0.024233 0.042802 0.074851 0.127671 0.209769 0.344878
2025-06-29 0.010746 0.021314 0.039670 0.072850 0.129906 0.222028 0.379083
2025-07-06 0.009115 0.019143 0.037414 0.071886 0.133527 0.236579 0.417996
2025-07-13 0.008430 0.018608 0.037938 0.075778 0.145739 0.266211 0.484121
2025-07-20 0.007688 0.017816 0.037843 0.078471 0.156031 0.293412 0.548389
2025-07-27 0.006551 0.015992 0.035473 0.076507 0.157517 0.305284 0.586957
2025-08-03 0.005683 0.014609 0.033824 0.075816 0.161483 0.322265 0.636751
2025-08-10 0.004813 0.013047 0.031558 0.073557 0.162123 0.333177 0.676492
2025-08-17 0.004128 0.011785 0.029734 0.071955 0.163846 0.346219 0.721285
2025-08-24 0.003676 0.011011 0.028879 0.072319 0.169624 0.367556 0.783661
2025-08-31 0.003154 0.009939 0.027151 0.070465 0.170429 0.379015 0.827554
2025-09-07 0.002991 0.009817 0.027708 0.073988 0.183362 0.416224 0.925970
2025-09-14 0.002667 0.009167 0.026834 0.073956 0.188290 0.437178 0.992788
2025-09-21 0.002300 0.008303 0.025261 0.071975 0.188483 0.448044 1.039400
2025-09-28 0.002024 0.007655 0.024157 0.071020 0.190963 0.464023 1.098048
2025-10-05 0.001951 0.007655 0.024855 0.074869 0.205459 0.507757 1.219962
2025-10-12 0.001841 0.007505 0.025099 0.077531 0.217287 0.546397 1.333438